ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

ATP Hard Chengdu · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

67.07%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

32.93%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.56

Market probability

63.05% / 36.95%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1893 vs 1802), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1860 vs 1783) and a stronger serve (67.8% vs 64.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1893.3 Elo 1802.1

1860.3 Elo (surface) 1783.1

138 Wins 84

106 Wins (surface) 64

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.156 Dominance ratio 0.864

136 Rank 80

29.6 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Aleksandar Kovacevic

1st Serve In %

59.0%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

20.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Aleksandar Kovacevic

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris and Aleksandar Kovacevic have never played each other.

Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Prediction