ATP tennis predict — Lloyd Harris vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · qualification - round of 16 04:15

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

60.99%

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

39.01%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.39

Market probability

61.13% / 38.87%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1725 vs 1575), a higher Elo rating (1690 vs 1602) and a stronger serve (71.0% vs 61.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1689.6 Elo 1602.2

1725.3 Elo (surface) 1574.8

143 Wins (Challenger) 100

114 Wins (surface) 78

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.938 Dominance ratio 0.872

175 Rank 253

29.5 Age 22.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Abedallah Shelbayh

1st Serve In %

59.0%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.2%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lloyd Harris Abedallah Shelbayh

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

69.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lloyd Harris 0 – 0 Abedallah Shelbayh

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - round of 16

Lloyd Harris #175

Abedallah Shelbayh #253

6-3 6-2

7 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 2

45 Service Points 56

39 First Serve In 28

32 First Serve Won 16

6 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Lloyd Harris vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Prediction