ATP tennis predict — Liam Draxl vs You Du

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · qualification - 1. round 07:05

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

91.55%

You Du

China

8.45%

Average Odds

1.04 / 10.67

Market probability

91.12% / 8.88%

Why This Prediction?

Liam Draxl is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1748 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1714 vs 1500) and more career match wins (108 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1747.9 Elo 1500

1713.9 Elo (surface) 1500

108 Wins (Challenger) 0

85 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 0.985

219 Rank -

24.8 Age 19.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

You Du

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl You Du

1st Serve In %

61.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.41

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl You Du

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl and You Du have never played each other.

Liam Draxl vs You Du — Prediction