ATP tennis predict — Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:10

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

73.84%

Omar Jasika

Australia

26.16%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.55

Market probability

73.65% / 26.35%

Why This Prediction?

Liam Draxl is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1721 vs 1560), a higher Elo rating (1753 vs 1565) and a stronger return game (42.6% vs 30.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1753.5 Elo 1565.2

1721.0 Elo (surface) 1559.9

109 Wins (Challenger) 117

86 Wins (surface) 114

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 1.182

219 Rank 422

24.8 Age 29.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Omar Jasika

1st Serve In %

61.7%

68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

55.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

40.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Omar Jasika

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

43.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

26.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

52.6%

Break Points Converted %

51.7%

50.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl and Omar Jasika have never played each other.

Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika — Prediction