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Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika — Prediction

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · qualification - round of 16 07:30

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

73.78%

Omar Jasika

Australia

26.22%

Average Odds

1.31  /  3.18

Market probability

70.82%  /  29.18%

Why This Prediction?

Liam Draxl is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1748 vs 1550), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1714 vs 1543) and a stronger return game (42.6% vs 30.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1747.9 Elo 1550.2
1713.9 Elo (surface) 1542.8
108 Wins (Challenger) 116
85 Wins (surface) 113
9 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.985 Dominance ratio 1.182
219 Rank 422
24.8 Age 29.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Omar Jasika

1st Serve In %

61.7%
68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%
55.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%
40.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%
25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%
49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Omar Jasika

Break Points Saved %

47.9%
43.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%
26.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
51.1%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%
46.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl and Omar Jasika have never played each other.

Liam Draxl — Last 10

L W L W L W W L L L

Omar Jasika — Last 10

L W W W L W W L L L