ATP tennis predict — Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 2. round 06:10

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

51.07%

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Georgia

48.93%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.63

Market probability

42.34% / 57.66%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1760.7 Elo 1800.7

1728.3 Elo (surface) 1760.2

16 Wins 252

13 Wins (surface) 147

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.100 Dominance ratio 0.919

219 Rank 124

24.8 Age 34.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Nikoloz Basilashvili

1st Serve In %

62.1%

50.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

51.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Nikoloz Basilashvili

Break Points Saved %

48.6%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

47.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl and Nikoloz Basilashvili have never played each other.

Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Prediction