ATP tennis predict — Liam Draxl vs Millen Hurrion

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

82.99%

Millen Hurrion

Great Britain

17.01%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.50

Market probability

79.23% / 20.77%

Why This Prediction?

Liam Draxl is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1598 vs 1398), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1551 vs 1405) and more career match wins (103 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1598.5 Elo 1397.7

1550.6 Elo (surface) 1404.7

103 Wins (Challenger) 4

80 Wins (surface) 4

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.118 Dominance ratio 0.931

244 Rank 714

24.6 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Millen Hurrion

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Millen Hurrion

1st Serve In %

62.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.47

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Millen Hurrion

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

41.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl 0 – 0 Millen Hurrion

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-22

1. round

Liam Draxl #244

Millen Hurrion #714

6-0 6-0

0 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 1

36 Service Points 28

25 First Serve In 19

8 First Serve Won 17

1 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Liam Draxl vs Millen Hurrion — Prediction