ATP tennis predict — Liam Draxl vs Daniel Milavsky

Challenger Hard Granby challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

52.77%

Daniel Milavsky

USA

47.23%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.70

Market probability

65.53% / 34.47%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1595.4 Elo 1639.6

1549.1 Elo (surface) 1517.1

102 Wins (Challenger) 23

79 Wins (surface) 18

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.959 Dominance ratio 1.150

223 Rank 335

24.6 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Daniel Milavsky

1st Serve In %

62.7%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Daniel Milavsky

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl 0 – 0 Daniel Milavsky

Hard Granby challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Liam Draxl #223

Daniel Milavsky #335

7-5 6-1

5 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 4

54 Service Points 76

39 First Serve In 44

31 First Serve Won 28

9 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 9

1 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Liam Draxl vs Daniel Milavsky — Prediction