ATP tennis predict — Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

53.13%

Clement Chidekh

France

46.87%

Average Odds

1.76 / 1.98

Market probability

52.94% / 47.06%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1620.7 Elo 1617.0

1581.6 Elo (surface) 1686.3

105 Wins (Challenger) 79

82 Wins (surface) 67

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.986 Dominance ratio 1.035

244 Rank 208

24.6 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Clement Chidekh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Clement Chidekh

1st Serve In %

62.7%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Clement Chidekh

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl 0 – 0 Clement Chidekh

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-25

QF

Liam Draxl #244

Clement Chidekh #208

7-6 6-4

6 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 6

81 Service Points 82

54 First Serve In 45

39 First Serve Won 29

13 Second Serve Won 21

4 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh — Prediction