ATP tennis predict — Liam Draxl vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Liam Draxl

Canada

60.69%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

39.31%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.70

Market probability

65.69% / 34.31%

Why This Prediction?

Liam Draxl is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1629 vs 1567), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1589 vs 1570) and a better head-to-head record against Andres Andrade (1-0).

Player Comparison

1629.1 Elo 1566.6

1588.5 Elo (surface) 1570.0

107 Wins (Challenger) 70

84 Wins (surface) 35

10 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.897 Dominance ratio 0.943

216 Rank 256

24.7 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

62.7%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Draxl Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

45.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Draxl 1 – 0 Andres Andrade

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Andres Andrade #256

Liam Draxl #216

6-2 6-3

2 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 0

51 Service Points 40

33 First Serve In 28

20 First Serve Won 23

6 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Sarasota CH · 2025-04-07

QF

Liam Draxl #176

Andres Andrade #266

7-5 7-6(4)

2 Aces 4

7 Double Faults 3

80 Service Points 89

48 First Serve In 47

36 First Serve Won 32

16 Second Serve Won 20

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Liam Draxl vs Andres Andrade — Prediction