ATP tennis predict — Liam Broady vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Liam Broady

Great Britain

52.42%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

47.58%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.21

Market probability

57.70% / 42.30%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1621.7 Elo 1631.0

1621.4 Elo (surface) 1646.5

245 Wins (Challenger) 22

216 Wins (surface) 22

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.154 Dominance ratio 0.872

202 Rank 376

32.6 Age 22.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Broady

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Broady Jay Dylan Hara Friend

1st Serve In %

51.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.64

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Broady Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Break Points Saved %

65.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Broady 0 – 0 Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29

1. round

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #376

Liam Broady #202

7-5 5-7 6-4

6 Aces 3

12 Double Faults 6

121 Service Points 108

64 First Serve In 65

47 First Serve Won 48

25 Second Serve Won 21

9 Break Points Saved 11

13 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Liam Broady vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Prediction