ATP tennis predict — Liam Broady vs Dominic Stricker

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Liam Broady

Great Britain

34.03%

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

65.97%

Average Odds

2.71 / 1.38

Market probability

33.74% / 66.26%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1756 vs 1668), fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.27) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1671 vs 1635).

Player Comparison

1668.1 Elo 1756.5

1635.1 Elo (surface) 1671.0

245 Wins (Challenger) 88

216 Wins (surface) 51

5 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.074 Dominance ratio 1.089

203 Rank 266

32.7 Age 24.1

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Liam Broady

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Broady Dominic Stricker

1st Serve In %

51.8%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.64

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Liam Broady Dominic Stricker

Break Points Saved %

65.7%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Liam Broady 1 – 1 Dominic Stricker

Hard Lugano CH · 2023-03-06

QF

Dominic Stricker #126

Liam Broady #142

3-6 6-3 7-6(4)

17 Aces 16

5 Double Faults 1

95 Service Points 92

48 First Serve In 52

40 First Serve Won 39

26 Second Serve Won 26

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Biel CH · 2021-09-20

SF

Liam Broady #139

Dominic Stricker #287

6-0 2-0 RET

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 4

29 Service Points 21

20 First Serve In 7

13 First Serve Won 3

6 Second Serve Won 2

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 5