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Leonardo Rossi vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · qualification - round of 16 14:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.17  /  1.63

Market probability

42.89%  /  57.11%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1527.6 Elo 1571.5
1546.7 Elo (surface) 1631.7
9 Wins (Challenger) 11
6 Wins (surface) 10
7 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.906 Dominance ratio 1.111
539 Rank 517
24.2 Age 26.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Leonardo Rossi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Leonardo Rossi Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.2%
56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%
76.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%
61.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%
30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%
61.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Leonardo Rossi Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

39.3%
51.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Leonardo Rossi and Yanis Ghazouani Durand have never played each other.

Leonardo Rossi — Last 10

W L L W W L W L L W

Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Last 10

W L L W W W L W W W