ATP tennis predict — Leonardo Rossi vs Daniel Masur

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Leonardo Rossi

Italy

40.28%

Daniel Masur

Germany

59.72%

Average Odds

3.42 / 1.26

Market probability

26.92% / 73.08%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Masur is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (138 vs 5), a higher Elo rating (1609 vs 1522) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1610 vs 1546).

Player Comparison

1522.3 Elo 1609.3

1546.2 Elo (surface) 1609.7

8 Wins (Challenger) 219

5 Wins (surface) 138

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.906 Dominance ratio 1.034

593 Rank 363

24.1 Age 31.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Leonardo Rossi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Leonardo Rossi Daniel Masur

1st Serve In %

—

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

43.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Leonardo Rossi Daniel Masur

Break Points Saved %

—

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

39.3%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

30.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Leonardo Rossi 0 – 0 Daniel Masur

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Daniel Masur #406

Leonardo Rossi #545

6-2 3-6 6-4

10 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 40

16 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Leonardo Rossi vs Daniel Masur — Prediction