ATP tennis predict — Leo Raquillet vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Leo Raquillet

France

24.73%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

France

75.27%

Average Odds

2.53 / 1.48

Market probability

36.91% / 63.09%

Why This Prediction?

Yanis Ghazouani Durand is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1679 vs 1381), a higher Elo rating (1595 vs 1395) and a stronger serve (62.9% vs 56.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1395.1 Elo 1595.3

1381.0 Elo (surface) 1678.9

12 Wins (Challenger) 9

7 Wins (surface) 8

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.961 Dominance ratio 1.111

663 Rank 547

21.0 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Leo Raquillet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Leo Raquillet Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

61.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

61.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Leo Raquillet Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

45.7%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.7%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Leo Raquillet 0 – 1 Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #547

Leo Raquillet #663

6-1 6-4

2 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

19 First Serve Won 25

4 Second Serve Won 10

4 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #595

Leo Raquillet #662

6-1 6-3

5 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 0

44 Service Points 50

22 First Serve In 33

18 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 5

0 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Leo Raquillet vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Prediction