ATP tennis predict — Lenny Couturier vs Mark Lajal

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Lenny Couturier

France

7.40%

Mark Lajal

Estonia

92.60%

Average Odds

12.33 / 1.02

Market probability

7.64% / 92.36%

Why This Prediction?

Mark Lajal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1719 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1721 vs 1500) and more wins on hard courts (124 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1720.7

1500 Elo (surface) 1719.2

0 Wins (Challenger) 138

0 Wins (surface) 124

0 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.107 Dominance ratio 1.107

1906 Rank 152

None Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lenny Couturier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-08.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lenny Couturier Mark Lajal

1st Serve In %

—

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.7%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

84.4%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.5%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

64.3%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lenny Couturier Mark Lajal

Break Points Saved %

—

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

100.0%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

60.0%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lenny Couturier 0 – 0 Mark Lajal

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Mark Lajal #152

Lenny Couturier #1906

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 5

58 Service Points 48

30 First Serve In 32

23 First Serve Won 27

10 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 12.3

Lenny Couturier vs Mark Lajal — Prediction