ATP tennis predict — Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Learner Tien

USA

72.83%

Zachary Svajda

USA

27.17%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.48

Market probability

72.80% / 27.20%

Why This Prediction?

Learner Tien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2060 vs 1862), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2012 vs 1813) and more career match wins (81 vs 67).

Player Comparison

2060.3 Elo 1862.4

2012.2 Elo (surface) 1813.1

81 Wins 67

63 Wins (surface) 54

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.987 Dominance ratio 1.071

16 Rank 82

20.8 Age None

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Learner Tien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Zachary Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Zachary Svajda

1st Serve In %

60.6%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.6%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

57.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Zachary Svajda

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

52.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Learner Tien and Zachary Svajda have never played each other.

Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda — Prediction