ATP tennis predict — Learner Tien vs Nuno Borges

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 00:55

Predicted probability

Learner Tien

USA

62.04%

Nuno Borges

Portugal

37.96%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.66

Market probability

64.25% / 35.75%

Why This Prediction?

Learner Tien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1868 vs 1812), a stronger return game (39.3% vs 35.7% of return points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1867.5 Elo 1811.8

1740.5 Elo (surface) 1760.6

77 Wins 111

59 Wins (surface) 62

9 Last 15 form 10

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 1.105

15 Rank 41

20.8 Age 29.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Learner Tien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Nuno Borges

1st Serve In %

61.0%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.4%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Nuno Borges

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Learner Tien 2 – 0 Nuno Borges

Hard US Open · 2026-09-01

1. round

Learner Tien #15

Nuno Borges #41

6-4 6-1 6-2

1 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 0

75 Service Points 72

41 First Serve In 41

24 First Serve Won 31

14 Second Serve Won 20

10 Break Points Saved 1

16 Break Points Faced 2

12 Winners 19

34 Unforced Errors 21

1.5 Average Odds 2.7

Hard Australian Open · 2026-01-19

R32

Learner Tien #29

Nuno Borges #46

7-6(9) 6-4 6-2

8 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 2

100 Service Points 96

67 First Serve In 79

49 First Serve Won 51

18 Second Serve Won 7

4 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Paris Masters · 2025-10-27

R64

Learner Tien #39

Nuno Borges #46

6-2 7-6(7)

7 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

63 Service Points 69

40 First Serve In 34

32 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 17

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 8