ATP tennis predict — Learner Tien vs Jakub Mensik

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 3. round 04:10

Predicted probability

Learner Tien

USA

47.37%

Jakub Mensik

Czech Republic

52.63%

Average Odds

1.72 / 2.13

Market probability

55.32% / 44.68%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1893.5 Elo 1882.2

1782.6 Elo (surface) 1758.3

79 Wins 107

61 Wins (surface) 80

9 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.935 Dominance ratio 1.060

15 Rank 18

20.8 Age 21.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Learner Tien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jakub Mensik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Jakub Mensik

1st Serve In %

61.0%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.4%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Jakub Mensik

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

54.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Learner Tien 1 – 0 Jakub Mensik

Hard US Open · 2026-09-06

3. round

Learner Tien #15

Jakub Mensik #18

6-3 1-6 6-7 6-3 6-4

23 Aces 5

8 Double Faults 8

137 Service Points 171

81 First Serve In 112

65 First Serve Won 73

25 Second Serve Won 32

7 Break Points Saved 9

14 Break Points Faced 14

55 Winners 35

59 Unforced Errors 39

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Hard Next Gen Finals · 2024-12-18

RR

Learner Tien #122

Jakub Mensik #48

4-3(6) 4-3(3) 2-4 2-4 4-3(8)

1 Aces 24

1 Double Faults 2

113 Service Points 93

76 First Serve In 61

51 First Serve Won 51

21 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Learner Tien vs Jakub Mensik — Prediction