ATP tennis predict — Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

ATP Hard Shanghai · 3. round 06:00

Predicted probability

Learner Tien

USA

57.96%

Casper Ruud

Norway

42.04%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.19

Market probability

56.74% / 43.26%

Why This Prediction?

Learner Tien is the favorite because he has better recent form (11 wins in his last 15 matches vs 9).

Player Comparison

2067.8 Elo 2069.7

2020.2 Elo (surface) 1929.9

82 Wins 353

64 Wins (surface) 158

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.987 Dominance ratio 1.149

16 Rank 24

20.9 Age 27.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Learner Tien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Casper Ruud

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Casper Ruud

1st Serve In %

59.2%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

75.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.7%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

56.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Learner Tien Casper Ruud

Break Points Saved %

52.6%

70.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Learner Tien and Casper Ruud have never played each other.

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud — Prediction