ATP tennis predict — Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · SF 16:00

Predicted probability

Lautaro Midon

Argentina

45.70%

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

54.30%

Average Odds

2.76 / 1.40

Market probability

33.65% / 66.35%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1758.9 Elo 1798.5

1777.0 Elo (surface) 1812.2

79 Wins (Challenger) 165

70 Wins (surface) 152

10 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 2

0.938 Dominance ratio 0.953

206 Rank 136

22.5 Age 26.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lautaro Midon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 10W–1L · 90.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lautaro Midon Thiago Seyboth Wild

1st Serve In %

60.2%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.9%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

59.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lautaro Midon Thiago Seyboth Wild

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lautaro Midon 0 – 2 Thiago Seyboth Wild

Clay Itajai CH · 2026-01-19

R32

Thiago Seyboth Wild #217

Lautaro Midon #232

6-3 6-4

1 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 3

67 Service Points 58

33 First Serve In 27

25 First Serve Won 14

18 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Vina Del Mar CH · 2023-03-12

R32

Thiago Seyboth Wild #400

Lautaro Midon

7-5 6-2

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 1

71 Service Points 61

48 First Serve In 36

27 First Serve Won 21

15 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Lautaro Midon — Last 10

Thiago Seyboth Wild — Last 10