ATP tennis predict — Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Pieri

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · R16 11:30

Predicted probability

Laurent Lokoli

France

43.55%

Samuele Pieri

Italy

56.45%

Average Odds

1.59 / 2.25

Market probability

58.59% / 41.41%

Why This Prediction?

Samuele Pieri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1558 vs 1532) and a stronger return game (34.9% vs 33.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1577.2 Elo 1531.9

1531.8 Elo (surface) 1558.0

110 Wins (Challenger) 18

33 Wins (surface) 18

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.769 Dominance ratio 0.913

385 Rank 398

32.0 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Laurent Lokoli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Laurent Lokoli Samuele Pieri

1st Serve In %

62.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.41

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.2%

42.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Laurent Lokoli Samuele Pieri

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

63.7%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Laurent Lokoli and Samuele Pieri have never played each other.

Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Pieri — Prediction