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Laslo Djere vs Samuel Heredia — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · qualification - round of 16 02:15

Predicted probability

Laslo Djere

Serbia

72.36%

Samuel Heredia

Colombia

27.64%

Average Odds

1.07  /  7.59

Market probability

87.64%  /  12.36%

Why This Prediction?

Laslo Djere is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1693 vs 1457), a stronger return game (42.0% vs 35.0% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (62 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1693.5 Elo 1457.1
1456.5 Elo (surface) 1417.8
128 Wins (Challenger) 12
12 Wins (surface) 2
11 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.088 Dominance ratio 0.985
211 Rank 653
31.2 Age 20.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Laslo Djere

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–1L · 87.5%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Samuel Heredia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Laslo Djere Samuel Heredia

1st Serve In %

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%
62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%
73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%
51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%
27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.3%
44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Laslo Djere Samuel Heredia

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.2%
65.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Laslo Djere 00 Samuel Heredia

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - round of 16

Laslo Djere #211

Samuel Heredia #653

6-3 6-4
1 Aces 7
1 Double Faults 3
59 Service Points 67
38 First Serve In 44
24 First Serve Won 33
11 Second Serve Won 11
9 Break Points Saved 2
12 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 7.6

Laslo Djere — Last 10

L W L W W W L L W L

Samuel Heredia — Last 10

L L W L L L W W L W