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Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Muller — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Laslo Djere

Serbia

42.96%

Alexandre Muller

France

57.04%

Average Odds

1.49  /  2.27

Market probability

60.37%  /  39.63%

Why This Prediction?

Alexandre Muller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1611 vs 1464), more wins on hard courts (59 vs 13) and a stronger return game (42.5% vs 32.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1687.9 Elo 1625.0
1464.5 Elo (surface) 1611.0
202 Wins 90
62 Wins (surface) 47
6 Last 15 form 5
1 Head-to-head wins 0
0.887 Dominance ratio 1.213
211 Rank 136
31.2 Age 29.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Laslo Djere

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–1L · 87.5%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alexandre Muller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Laslo Djere Alexandre Muller

1st Serve In %

61.1%
66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%
69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%
34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%
49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%
59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%
75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%
46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%
27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.3%
46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Laslo Djere Alexandre Muller

Break Points Saved %

70.5%
67.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.2%
58.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Laslo Djere 10 Alexandre Muller

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Alexandre Muller #138

Laslo Djere #206

7-5 6-0
6 Aces 3
8 Double Faults 4
63 Service Points 61
39 First Serve In 34
24 First Serve Won 26
8 Second Serve Won 15
4 Break Points Saved 5
9 Break Points Faced 6
15 Winners 15
35 Unforced Errors 16
2.3 Average Odds 1.5
Clay Buenos Aires · 2025-02-10
8 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 0
46 Service Points 53
28 First Serve In 34
27 First Serve Won 23
10 Second Serve Won 8
1 Break Points Saved 2
1 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Laslo Djere — Last 10

L W L W W W L L W L

Alexandre Muller — Last 10

W W L W L W L L L W