← Back to Predictions

Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Prediction

ATP Hard Hangzhou · R16 07:40

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

38.84%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Argentina

61.16%

Average Odds

2.41  /  1.55

Market probability

39.14%  /  60.86%

Why This Prediction?

Tomas Martin Etcheverry is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1927 vs 1818), a stronger serve (66.1% vs 61.0% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1869 vs 1790).

Player Comparison

1817.9 Elo 1926.8
1790.2 Elo (surface) 1868.9
26 Wins 136
14 Wins (surface) 54
8 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.003 Dominance ratio 1.071
107 Rank 30
25.4 Age 27.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Tomas Martin Etcheverry

1st Serve In %

56.0%
60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%
73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%
68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%
50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Break Points Saved %

62.4%
57.7%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%
39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%
64.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet and Tomas Martin Etcheverry have never played each other.

Kyrian Jacquet — Last 10

W L W L L W W L W L

Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Last 10

L W W W L L L L W W