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Kyrian Jacquet vs Tianhui Zhang — Prediction

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 09:45

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

86.88%

Tianhui Zhang

China

13.12%

Average Odds

1.03  /  12.45

Market probability

92.36%  /  7.64%

Why This Prediction?

Kyrian Jacquet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1468), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1847 vs 1449) and more wins on hard courts (18 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1871.5 Elo 1468.3
1847.3 Elo (surface) 1448.8
30 Wins 0
18 Wins (surface) 0
9 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.003 Dominance ratio 1.003
86 Rank 798
25.4 Age 20.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tianhui Zhang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Tianhui Zhang

1st Serve In %

55.0%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

79.3%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.50
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%
60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%
47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.49

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Tianhui Zhang

Break Points Saved %

68.8%
—

Break Points Converted %

32.2%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%
56.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%
35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet and Tianhui Zhang have never played each other.

Kyrian Jacquet — Last 10

L W W L W W W L W L

Tianhui Zhang — Last 10

L L L L L W L L W W