ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Daniel

ATP Clay Estoril · qualification - quarterfinal

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

42.22%

Taro Daniel

Japan

57.78%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.94

Market probability

51.87% / 48.13%

Why This Prediction?

Taro Daniel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1751 vs 1586), a higher Elo rating (1756 vs 1683) and more wins on clay courts (124 vs 56).

Player Comparison

1683.4 Elo 1755.6

1585.8 Elo (surface) 1751.2

20 Wins 218

5 Wins (surface) 80

8 Last 15 form 8

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.172 Dominance ratio 0.873

130 Rank 194

25.2 Age 33.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Taro Daniel

1st Serve In %

56.0%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Taro Daniel

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

54.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 2 – 0 Taro Daniel

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-19

qualification - quarterfinal

Taro Daniel #192

Kyrian Jacquet #134

6-4 3-6 6-3

8 Aces 2

6 Double Faults 5

75 Service Points 89

41 First Serve In 47

31 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 20

1 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Roland Garros · 2025-05-26

Q1

Kyrian Jacquet #150

Taro Daniel #148

6-1 6-4

10 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

47 Service Points 66

32 First Serve In 40

26 First Serve Won 25

9 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Salzburg CH · 2024-07-08

R32

Kyrian Jacquet #239

Taro Daniel #84

6-1 7-6(3)

2 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 2

70 Service Points 57

36 First Serve In 32

26 First Serve Won 17

19 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Daniel — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet — Last 10

Taro Daniel — Last 10