ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 2. round 08:30

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

48.71%

Rei Sakamoto

Japan

51.29%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.16

Market probability

56.69% / 43.31%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1873.8 Elo 1821.6

1850.5 Elo (surface) 1788.7

31 Wins 19

19 Wins (surface) 15

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.003 Dominance ratio 0.962

76 Rank 137

25.4 Age 20.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Rei Sakamoto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Rei Sakamoto

1st Serve In %

53.8%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

21.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

75.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

40.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Rei Sakamoto

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet and Rei Sakamoto have never played each other.

Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto — Prediction