ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 05:35

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

47.28%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Norway

52.72%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.58

Market probability

63.70% / 36.30%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1687.7 Elo 1581.3

1563.2 Elo (surface) 1598.2

23 Wins 23

11 Wins (surface) 11

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.101 Dominance ratio 1.156

121 Rank 152

25.3 Age 20.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

1st Serve In %

56.0%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

67.1%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 0 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Kyrian Jacquet #121

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer #152

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 3

75 Service Points 78

48 First Serve In 40

28 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 20

9 Break Points Saved 7

14 Break Points Faced 10

14 Winners 39

20 Unforced Errors 39

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Kyrian Jacquet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Prediction