ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midon

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

53.32%

Lautaro Midon

Argentina

46.68%

Average Odds

1.13 / 4.99

Market probability

81.54% / 18.46%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1672.0 Elo 1680.3

1550.4 Elo (surface) 1616.6

24 Wins 5

12 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.092 Dominance ratio 0.958

119 Rank 193

25.3 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lautaro Midon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Lautaro Midon

1st Serve In %

56.0%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Lautaro Midon

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 0 Lautaro Midon

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Kyrian Jacquet #107

Lautaro Midon #189

6-4 6-3

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

58 Service Points 56

29 First Serve In 24

23 First Serve Won 18

17 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 6

1 Break Points Faced 9

17 Winners 7

20 Unforced Errors 14

1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midon — Prediction