ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

ATP Clay Estoril · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

92.71%

Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

Portugal

7.29%

Average Odds

1.02 / 14.06

Market probability

93.24% / 6.76%

Why This Prediction?

Kyrian Jacquet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1676 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1571 vs 1500) and more career match wins (123 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1676.2 Elo 1500

1570.8 Elo (surface) 1500

19 Wins 0

4 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.143 Dominance ratio 1.143

130 Rank -

25.2 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-18.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

1st Serve In %

56.0%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

36.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

43.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

11.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.57

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.36

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

20.0%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 0 Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-18

qualification - round of 16

Kyrian Jacquet #130

Goncalo Da Rosa Castro #-

6-1 6-2

3 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 4

47 Service Points 35

26 First Serve In 19

23 First Serve Won 7

10 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 14.1

Kyrian Jacquet vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro — Prediction