ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Aziz Dougaz

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

55.18%

Aziz Dougaz

Tunisia

44.82%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.43

Market probability

72.82% / 27.18%

Why This Prediction?

Kyrian Jacquet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1687 vs 1614) and a stronger return game (41.3% vs 31.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1687.2 Elo 1614.0

1573.5 Elo (surface) 1616.0

25 Wins 16

13 Wins (surface) 11

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.084 Dominance ratio 0.794

107 Rank 520

25.3 Age 29.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Aziz Dougaz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Aziz Dougaz

1st Serve In %

56.0%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Aziz Dougaz

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

46.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 1 Aziz Dougaz

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Aziz Dougaz #520

Kyrian Jacquet #107

6-4 4-6 6-4

7 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 8

91 Service Points 100

40 First Serve In 56

30 First Serve Won 41

26 Second Serve Won 20

2 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 9

28 Winners 25

19 Unforced Errors 26

3.4 Average Odds 1.3

Clay Roland Garros · 2024-05-27

Q1

Aziz Dougaz #233

Kyrian Jacquet #232

6-7(4) 7-5 7-5

5 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 6

113 Service Points 113

68 First Serve In 65

50 First Serve Won 48

23 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kyrian Jacquet vs Aziz Dougaz — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet — Last 10

Aziz Dougaz — Last 10