ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev

ATP Hard Hangzhou · SF 11:30

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

27.44%

Andrey Rublev

Russia

72.56%

Average Odds

3.40 / 1.31

Market probability

27.81% / 72.19%

Why This Prediction?

Andrey Rublev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2025 vs 1852), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1937 vs 1831) and a stronger serve (67.7% vs 61.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1851.6 Elo 2024.7

1830.7 Elo (surface) 1937.5

28 Wins 440

16 Wins (surface) 293

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.003 Dominance ratio 1.240

86 Rank 24

25.4 Age 28.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Andrey Rublev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Andrey Rublev

1st Serve In %

55.7%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Andrey Rublev

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

67.8%

Break Points Converted %

30.3%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet and Andrey Rublev have never played each other.

Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev — Prediction