ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Shevchenko

ATP Hard Montreal · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

37.17%

Alexander Shevchenko

Kazakhstan

62.83%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.21

Market probability

57.55% / 42.45%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Shevchenko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1678 vs 1525), a stronger serve (64.8% vs 60.8% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1704 vs 1675).

Player Comparison

1675.2 Elo 1703.8

1525.0 Elo (surface) 1678.1

21 Wins 89

9 Wins (surface) 53

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.098 Dominance ratio 1.094

120 Rank 89

25.2 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexander Shevchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Alexander Shevchenko

1st Serve In %

56.0%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

39.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Alexander Shevchenko

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

72.6%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 2 Alexander Shevchenko

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-01

qualification - 1. round

Kyrian Jacquet #120

Alexander Shevchenko #89

4-6 6-4 6-3

3 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 6

86 Service Points 114

45 First Serve In 55

32 First Serve Won 41

19 Second Serve Won 25

3 Break Points Saved 15

7 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Helsinki CH · 2021-11-15

R32

Alexander Shevchenko #356

Kyrian Jacquet #309

6-2 6-1

4 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 3

50 Service Points 48

14 First Serve In 34

11 First Serve Won 15

21 Second Serve Won 5

4 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Helsinki CH · 2021-11-15

Q2

Alexander Shevchenko #356

Kyrian Jacquet #309

6-3 6-0

2 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

40 Service Points 65

14 First Serve In 51

12 First Serve Won 20

14 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Shevchenko — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet — Last 10

Alexander Shevchenko — Last 10