ATP tennis predict — Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar Vukic

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

38.07%

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

61.93%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.82

Market probability

49.73% / 50.27%

Why This Prediction?

Aleksandar Vukic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1740 vs 1560), a stronger serve (72.4% vs 61.3% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (81 vs 12).

Player Comparison

1684.8 Elo 1703.4

1559.6 Elo (surface) 1739.9

123 Wins (Challenger) 158

64 Wins (surface) 113

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.047 Dominance ratio 1.085

119 Rank 99

25.3 Age 30.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Aleksandar Vukic

1st Serve In %

56.0%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

80.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

1.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

78.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Aleksandar Vukic

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 0 – 0 Aleksandar Vukic

Hard Hangzhou · 2026-09-23

1. round

Kyrian Jacquet #107

Aleksandar Vukic #91

7-6 3-6 6-3

5 Aces 16

5 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

41 First Serve Won 45

36 Second Serve Won 23

14 Break Points Saved 3

16 Break Points Faced 5

46 Winners 41

43 Unforced Errors 36

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Aleksandar Vukic #99

Kyrian Jacquet #119

7-6 6-1

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.8

Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar Vukic — Prediction