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Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Kyrian Jacquet

France

61.51%

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

38.49%

Average Odds

1.55  /  2.28

Market probability

59.53%  /  40.47%

Why This Prediction?

Kyrian Jacquet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1583 vs 1474), more wins on hard courts (64 vs 8) and more aces per game (0.16 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1697.2 Elo 1725.5
1582.8 Elo (surface) 1474.0
24 Wins 17
12 Wins (surface) 3
9 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.052 Dominance ratio 1.132
121 Rank 66
25.3 Age 22.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

1st Serve In %

56.0%
60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%
73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%
62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
35.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kyrian Jacquet Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Break Points Saved %

62.4%
64.6%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%
48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.6%
54.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%
50.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kyrian Jacquet 00 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-14
3 Aces 7
2 Double Faults 3
61 Service Points 44
33 First Serve In 26
22 First Serve Won 24
14 Second Serve Won 13
7 Break Points Saved 1
10 Break Points Faced 1
7 Winners 16
29 Unforced Errors 26
2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Kyrian Jacquet — Last 10

W L W L L W W L W L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — Last 10

L L W L W W L L L W