ATP tennis predict — Kristjan Tamm vs Amit Vales

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Kristjan Tamm

Estonia

18.44%

Amit Vales

Israel

81.56%

Average Odds

4.33 / 1.18

Market probability

21.42% / 78.58%

Why This Prediction?

Amit Vales is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1482 vs 1298), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1483 vs 1403) and more career match wins (12 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1298.4 Elo 1481.7

1403.1 Elo (surface) 1482.8

3 Wins (Challenger) 12

2 Wins (surface) 6

3 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.941 Dominance ratio 1.149

1155 Rank 672

28.1 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kristjan Tamm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Amit Vales

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kristjan Tamm Amit Vales

1st Serve In %

58.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.68

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

56.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kristjan Tamm Amit Vales

Break Points Saved %

82.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

31.9%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kristjan Tamm 0 – 0 Amit Vales

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Amit Vales #672

Kristjan Tamm #1155

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 48

28 First Serve In 24

20 First Serve Won 21

8 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.3

Kristjan Tamm vs Amit Vales — Prediction