ATP tennis predict — Kokoro Isomura vs Karl Poling

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Kokoro Isomura

Japan

45.47%

Karl Poling

USA

54.53%

Average Odds

2.24 / 1.49

Market probability

39.95% / 60.05%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1521.7 Elo 1552.0

1527.7 Elo (surface) 1561.3

31 Wins (Challenger) 32

31 Wins (surface) 22

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.789 Dominance ratio 1.063

571 Rank 487

23.5 Age 27.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kokoro Isomura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Karl Poling

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kokoro Isomura Karl Poling

1st Serve In %

—

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

19.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

32.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.9%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.66

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kokoro Isomura Karl Poling

Break Points Saved %

—

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

57.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.9%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kokoro Isomura 0 – 0 Karl Poling

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-28

qualification - 1. round

Karl Poling #491

Kokoro Isomura #562

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 4

79 Service Points 71

50 First Serve In 47

31 First Serve Won 37

14 Second Serve Won 12

11 Break Points Saved 6

13 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Kokoro Isomura vs Karl Poling — Prediction