ATP tennis predict — Koki Matsuda vs Jake Delaney

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 1. round 06:10

Predicted probability

Koki Matsuda

Japan

78.25%

Jake Delaney

Australia

21.75%

Average Odds

2.00 / 1.74

Market probability

46.52% / 53.48%

Why This Prediction?

Koki Matsuda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1572 vs 1327), a higher Elo rating (1567 vs 1331) and a stronger serve (65.0% vs 62.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1567.3 Elo 1330.6

1571.9 Elo (surface) 1326.6

22 Wins (Challenger) 29

22 Wins (surface) 29

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.121 Dominance ratio 0.861

483 Rank 365

25.8 Age 29.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Koki Matsuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Jake Delaney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Koki Matsuda Jake Delaney

1st Serve In %

—

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.7%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Koki Matsuda Jake Delaney

Break Points Saved %

—

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.2%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

26.0%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Koki Matsuda 0 – 0 Jake Delaney

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Koki Matsuda #483

Jake Delaney #365

7-6 7-6

6 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 5

100 Service Points 95

70 First Serve In 58

55 First Serve Won 46

15 Second Serve Won 19

6 Break Points Saved 10

7 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2 Average Odds 1.7

Koki Matsuda vs Jake Delaney — Prediction