ATP tennis predict — Kody Pearson vs Giovanni Oradini

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Kody Pearson

Australia

28.04%

Giovanni Oradini

Italy

71.96%

Average Odds

8.74 / 1.03

Market probability

10.54% / 89.46%

Why This Prediction?

Giovanni Oradini is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1475 vs 1345), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1488 vs 1345) and more wins on clay courts (31 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1344.6 Elo 1474.8

1344.9 Elo (surface) 1487.8

7 Wins (Challenger) 44

0 Wins (surface) 31

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.022 Dominance ratio 0.956

1110 Rank 681

27.2 Age 29.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kody Pearson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Giovanni Oradini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kody Pearson Giovanni Oradini

1st Serve In %

—

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kody Pearson Giovanni Oradini

Break Points Saved %

—

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

18.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

26.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kody Pearson 0 – 0 Giovanni Oradini

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Giovanni Oradini #683

Kody Pearson #1120

6-2 6-2

2 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 28

5 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 8.7

Kody Pearson vs Giovanni Oradini — Prediction