ATP tennis predict — Kimmer Coppejans vs Vilius Gaubas

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Kimmer Coppejans

Belgium

36.41%

Vilius Gaubas

Lithuania

63.59%

Average Odds

2.42 / 1.49

Market probability

38.11% / 61.89%

Why This Prediction?

Vilius Gaubas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1769 vs 1727), a stronger serve (65.2% vs 61.0% of service points won) and a stronger return game (37.9% vs 33.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1726.7 Elo 1769.1

1706.8 Elo (surface) 1701.7

325 Wins (Challenger) 82

248 Wins (surface) 73

8 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.709 Dominance ratio 1.008

232 Rank 141

32.7 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kimmer Coppejans

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Vilius Gaubas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kimmer Coppejans Vilius Gaubas

1st Serve In %

56.0%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.7%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kimmer Coppejans Vilius Gaubas

Break Points Saved %

43.2%

71.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kimmer Coppejans 1 – 0 Vilius Gaubas

Clay Montemar CH · 2024-11-18

R32

Kimmer Coppejans #437

Vilius Gaubas #185

1-6 6-4 6-4

3 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 4

86 Service Points 78

50 First Serve In 55

37 First Serve Won 38

14 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Kimmer Coppejans vs Vilius Gaubas — Prediction