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Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Prediction

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Kimmer Coppejans

Belgium

13.37%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Greece

86.63%

Average Odds

7.85  /  1.08

Market probability

12.09%  /  87.91%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Tsitsipas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2019 vs 1730), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1962 vs 1650) and a stronger serve (62.6% vs 61.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1729.6 Elo 2019.4
1650.1 Elo (surface) 1961.6
56 Wins 431
31 Wins (surface) 259
8 Last 15 form 10
3 Head-to-head wins 0
0.964 Dominance ratio 0.918
232 Rank 43
32.7 Age 28.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kimmer Coppejans

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kimmer Coppejans Stefanos Tsitsipas

1st Serve In %

56.5%
59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%
45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%
24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
42.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.52
0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%
59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.7%
80.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%
62.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%
29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%
47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kimmer Coppejans Stefanos Tsitsipas

Break Points Saved %

46.0%
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%
38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%
75.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%
36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kimmer Coppejans 3 – 0 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Clay Barletta CH · 2017-04-10
4 Aces 4
6 Double Faults 2
59 Service Points 64
35 First Serve In 40
25 First Serve Won 22
9 Second Serve Won 7
4 Break Points Saved 2
8 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Sophia Antipolis CH · 2017-04-03
2 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 2
64 Service Points 51
31 First Serve In 30
22 First Serve Won 17
17 Second Serve Won 9
7 Break Points Saved 1
9 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Izmir CH · 2016-09-19
3-6 7-5 7-6(5)
0 Aces 5
3 Double Faults 3
113 Service Points 106
81 First Serve In 74
56 First Serve Won 53
14 Second Serve Won 15
12 Break Points Saved 3
15 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Kimmer Coppejans — Last 10

W W L W L L L L W L

Stefanos Tsitsipas — Last 10

L W W W L W W W L W