ATP tennis predict — Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Kimmer Coppejans

Belgium

41.51%

Jurij Rodionov

Austria

58.49%

Average Odds

2.42 / 1.52

Market probability

38.58% / 61.42%

Why This Prediction?

Jurij Rodionov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1692 vs 1549), a stronger serve (64.1% vs 53.9% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.17).

Player Comparison

1651.3 Elo 1647.5

1548.9 Elo (surface) 1691.6

54 Wins 65

29 Wins (surface) 26

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.908 Dominance ratio 0.866

218 Rank 134

32.5 Age 27.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kimmer Coppejans

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jurij Rodionov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kimmer Coppejans Jurij Rodionov

1st Serve In %

56.2%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.7%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kimmer Coppejans Jurij Rodionov

Break Points Saved %

52.6%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kimmer Coppejans 0 – 0 Jurij Rodionov

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Jurij Rodionov #143

Kimmer Coppejans #216

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 1

58 Service Points 58

35 First Serve In 29

22 First Serve Won 22

12 Second Serve Won 17

7 Break Points Saved 1

10 Break Points Faced 1

15 Winners 18

20 Unforced Errors 18

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction