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Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayot — Prediction

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

68.45%

Harold Mayot

France

31.55%

Average Odds

1.31  /  3.26

Market probability

71.33%  /  28.67%

Why This Prediction?

Kilian Feldbausch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1733 vs 1612), a higher Elo rating (1730 vs 1644) and a stronger return game (42.2% vs 30.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1730.0 Elo 1643.6
1733.0 Elo (surface) 1611.6
61 Wins (Challenger) 129
56 Wins (surface) 42
13 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.302 Dominance ratio 1.341
242 Rank 255
20.9 Age 24.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Kilian Feldbausch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–3L · 70.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kilian Feldbausch Harold Mayot

1st Serve In %

65.6%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%
45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%
27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%
40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.3%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%
76.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%
41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%
68.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.15
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Kilian Feldbausch Harold Mayot

Break Points Saved %

57.7%
64.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%
67.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.4%
39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Kilian Feldbausch 00 Harold Mayot

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-28
6-3 6-7 6-4
1 Aces 4
4 Double Faults 1
123 Service Points 104
74 First Serve In 59
49 First Serve Won 39
24 Second Serve Won 18
13 Break Points Saved 2
16 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Kilian Feldbausch — Last 10

L W L L W L L W W L

Harold Mayot — Last 10

W L W W W W L W W W