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Khumoun Sultanov vs Sergey Fomin — Prediction

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 1. round 08:00

Predicted probability

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

55.65%

Sergey Fomin

Uzbekistan

44.35%

Average Odds

1.61  /  2.22

Market probability

57.96%  /  42.04%

Why This Prediction?

Khumoun Sultanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1562 vs 1469), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1567 vs 1540) and fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1561.9 Elo 1469.3
1566.8 Elo (surface) 1539.7
70 Wins (Challenger) 56
56 Wins (surface) 30
11 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 2
1.121 Dominance ratio 1.366
466 Rank 295
27.8 Age 25.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Sergey Fomin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Sergey Fomin

1st Serve In %

59.7%
64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%
63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%
50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%
23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%
50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.49
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%
55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%
71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%
56.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%
30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Sergey Fomin

Break Points Saved %

59.0%
69.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%
38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Khumoun Sultanov 0 – 2 Sergey Fomin

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Khumoun Sultanov #466

Sergey Fomin #295

7-5 6-0
13 Aces 7
2 Double Faults 6
51 Service Points 76
33 First Serve In 39
25 First Serve Won 25
10 Second Serve Won 14
0 Break Points Saved 7
1 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2
Clay Samarkand CH · 2019-05-13

R64

Sergey Fomin #581

Khumoun Sultanov #434

7-6(3) 3-6 6-2
6 Aces 3
3 Double Faults 2
112 Service Points 105
71 First Serve In 63
42 First Serve Won 33
21 Second Serve Won 23
6 Break Points Saved 4
12 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Samarkand CH · 2018-05-14

Q3

Sergey Fomin #933

Khumoun Sultanov #668

6-2 6-2
0 Aces 5
0 Double Faults 4
53 Service Points 53
35 First Serve In 29
25 First Serve Won 18
10 Second Serve Won 9
0 Break Points Saved 5
0 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Khumoun Sultanov — Last 10

L L L W W W L W W W

Sergey Fomin — Last 10

L L L L W W W L L L