ATP tennis predict — Khumoun Sultanov vs Joshua Charlton

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:05

Predicted probability

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

60.98%

Joshua Charlton

Australia

39.02%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.54

Market probability

79.51% / 20.49%

Why This Prediction?

Khumoun Sultanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1550 vs 1464), more wins on hard courts (6 vs 0) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 31.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1549.6 Elo 1464.1

1552.2 Elo (surface) 1482.0

69 Wins (Challenger) 10

55 Wins (surface) 10

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.156 Dominance ratio 0.929

466 Rank 755

27.8 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Joshua Charlton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Joshua Charlton

1st Serve In %

59.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.49

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Joshua Charlton

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

77.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

29.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Khumoun Sultanov 0 – 0 Joshua Charlton

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Khumoun Sultanov #466

Joshua Charlton #755

3-6 6-3 6-4

10 Aces 9

4 Double Faults 0

89 Service Points 85

55 First Serve In 56

40 First Serve Won 39

20 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Khumoun Sultanov vs Joshua Charlton — Prediction