ATP tennis predict — Khumoun Sultanov vs Hunter Heck

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 1. round 07:20

Predicted probability

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

67.45%

Hunter Heck

USA

32.55%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.50

Market probability

73.38% / 26.62%

Why This Prediction?

Khumoun Sultanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1596 vs 1473), a higher Elo rating (1593 vs 1470) and more wins on hard courts (57 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1592.7 Elo 1469.8

1595.9 Elo (surface) 1473.3

71 Wins (Challenger) 7

57 Wins (surface) 7

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.080 Dominance ratio 0.882

431 Rank 700

27.9 Age 24.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Hunter Heck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Hunter Heck

1st Serve In %

59.7%

50.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

89.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

68.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

77.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Hunter Heck

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Khumoun Sultanov 0 – 0 Hunter Heck

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Hunter Heck #700

Khumoun Sultanov #431

6-3 6-2

5 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

20 First Serve Won 25

9 Second Serve Won 9

5 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.5 Average Odds 1.3

Khumoun Sultanov vs Hunter Heck — Prediction