ATP tennis predict — Khumoun Sultanov vs Fumin Jiang

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · qualification - 1. round 06:30

Predicted probability

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

85.89%

Fumin Jiang

China

14.11%

Average Odds

1.02 / 13.37

Market probability

92.91% / 7.09%

Why This Prediction?

Khumoun Sultanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1537 vs 1454), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1538 vs 1450) and more career match wins (68 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1537.1 Elo 1453.5

1538.4 Elo (surface) 1449.6

68 Wins (Challenger) 0

54 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.058 Dominance ratio 1.058

461 Rank 1701

27.8 Age 19.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Fumin Jiang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Fumin Jiang

1st Serve In %

59.7%

70.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

58.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

15.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

28.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

50.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

57.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Fumin Jiang

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

28.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Khumoun Sultanov 0 – 0 Fumin Jiang

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Khumoun Sultanov #466

Fumin Jiang #1718

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

44 Service Points 69

32 First Serve In 35

23 First Serve Won 20

7 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 13.4

Khumoun Sultanov vs Fumin Jiang — Prediction