ATP tennis predict — Khumoun Sultanov vs Alexandr Binda

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 13:15

Predicted probability

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

64.45%

Alexandr Binda

Italy

35.55%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.43

Market probability

61.52% / 38.48%

Why This Prediction?

Khumoun Sultanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1501 vs 1455), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1499 vs 1413) and a stronger serve (62.5% vs 60.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1501.0 Elo 1455.2

1499.0 Elo (surface) 1412.8

65 Wins (Challenger) 25

51 Wins (surface) 22

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.960 Dominance ratio 1.093

508 Rank 571

27.8 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Alexandr Binda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Alexandr Binda

1st Serve In %

59.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.49

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

67.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

42.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Khumoun Sultanov Alexandr Binda

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

40.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Khumoun Sultanov 0 – 0 Alexandr Binda

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-10

1. round

Khumoun Sultanov #508

Alexandr Binda #571

6-3 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Khumoun Sultanov vs Alexandr Binda — Prediction