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Keshav Chopra vs Kaylan Bigun — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Keshav Chopra

USA

42.94%

Kaylan Bigun

USA

57.06%

Average Odds

2.76  /  1.37

Market probability

33.17%  /  66.83%

Why This Prediction?

Kaylan Bigun is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (10 vs 4), more career match wins (14 vs 4) and a stronger return game (38.2% vs 31.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1514.5 Elo 1462.0
1515.1 Elo (surface) 1418.0
4 Wins (Challenger) 14
4 Wins (surface) 10
4 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.721 Dominance ratio 0.963
777 Rank 600
24.8 Age 20.3
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Keshav Chopra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Kaylan Bigun

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keshav Chopra Kaylan Bigun

1st Serve In %

56.9%
38.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

51.7%
65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.9%
47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

5.9%
24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

0.0%
56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12
0.73

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%
49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%
33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%
51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36
0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Keshav Chopra Kaylan Bigun

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.3%
55.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%
41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Keshav Chopra 00 Kaylan Bigun

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-25
2-6 6-3 6-3
5 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 5
99 Service Points 82
58 First Serve In 43
38 First Serve Won 28
22 Second Serve Won 23
7 Break Points Saved 7
10 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Keshav Chopra — Last 10

L L W W W L W L W L

Kaylan Bigun — Last 10

L L L W W L L L L L